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| February 2006 |
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| CHINA BUSINESS HEADLINES |
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Investment Choices Big Piece of China Puzzle
Investing in China is just as difficult as trying to
fathom the many complexities of that nation in transition.
Its government is actively issuing tougher standards for securities, accounting
and corporate conduct. Yet it remains deeply enmeshed in free speech, privacy
and trade controversies.
Many view China as a golden goose, but no one's certain who'll wind up with the
golden eggs. The common investment logic is that a nation so big, vibrant and
seemingly headed down the road to free enterprise just can't be overlooked.
"When you have growth opportunities in a country the size of China, there's a
compelling case to be made that every investor should have some exposure to it,"
said Ian Wyatt, editor of the Growth Report investment letter in Washington,
D.C. "You shouldn't invest in just one company, however, but through a fund or a
basket of stocks."
Stocks of China have undeniable political and economic risk, Wyatt said. But he
believes drawbacks are already reflected in discounted stock prices.
Longer-term, he sees the government "trending toward becoming more
capitalistic," with no significant pullback.
Despite the risks, optimism abounds.
In the past year and a half, three China-focused mutual funds and one
China-focused exchange-traded fund have opened, according to fund-tracker
Morningstar Inc. There are now 14 offerings focusing on that nation. Other
common ways to invest include American depositary receipts traded in the U.S. or
stocks on the Hong Kong or European exchanges.
Wyatt is interested in new-media companies; he recommends these stocks trading
in the U.S. as ADRs:
- Focus Media Holding Ltd., which owns a flat-panel audiovisual display network
used for advertising in elevators, lobbies, shops and offices in China.
- Netease.com Inc., the largest online game-playing company in China, which also
provides wireless services and an Internet portal.
- Ctrip.com International Ltd., the leading travel services company in China,
arranges hotel reservations, airline tickets and tour services.
- ELong Inc., the second-largest travel services provider in China, whose
largest shareholder is Expedia Inc.
"Compared to the Asian region, China shares are trading at a relatively cheap
valuation and we see a positive environment for them this year," said Richard
Gao, lead portfolio manager for the $440 million Matthews China Fund, which has
a three-year annualized return of 26 percent. "Overall, our portfolio of
primarily Hong Kong-traded stocks is quite diversified, though we have
historically overweighted the consumer, financial and industrial sectors."
China's growth is amazing. At the end of 1979 average per capita income was
$270, and last year it reached $1,300, Gao said. The economy has been growing at
an 8 percent to 9 percent clip the past 20 years, he said, but even so, mainland
China's exchanges performed poorly for the past five years.
"The big disconnect in China is that despite how strong its economy has been,
its stock market has languished," said Arijit Dutta, an analyst who covers Asia
funds for Morningstar and isn't fond of volatile single-country investments.
"That's because its market became too inflated in the middle to late 1990s and
it has still not corrected."
Because of restrictions on stock ownership and concerns over government
involvement in shares of mainland China exchanges, most mutual funds stick with
Hong Kong-traded shares, Dutta said.
A fund he finds noteworthy is the $494 million Fidelity China Region Fund,
three-year annualized return 25 percent. It has about half its portfolio in
stocks on the Hong Kong exchange, some of them Chinese but not all linked to the
mainland. One-fourth of its portfolio is in Taiwan, while South Korea represents
a small portion.
Newly-offered funds expect a bullish 2006. Fastest out of the gate is the $19
million Oberweis China Opportunities Fund, launched in October and achieving a
36 percent total return the past three months.
"The companies we invest in typically were started by Hong Kong entrepreneurs
moving back to mainland China and they often have a significant ownership
position," said the fund's lead manager, James Oberweis. "Since transparency in
China leaves something to be desired, we feel a little more comfortable when we
see that management has its own skin in the game along with us."
Government-owned Chinese companies, on the other hand, should be avoided as
investments because they lack the motivation to create shareholder value,
experts said.
Largest holdings in the Oberweis fund are Hong Kong-traded shares of Century
Sunshine Ecological Technology Holdings Ltd., involved in the research,
development and production of organic fertilizers, and Lee & Man Paper
Manufacturing Ltd., one of China's largest producers of corrugated products.
Among ETFs available in the U.S., iShares FTSE/Xinhua China 25 Index Fund, up 31
percent the past 12 months, holds shares of the 25 largest firms on the Hong
Kong exchange. That ensures you're holding the most liquid shares, though with
60 percent of assets in the top 10 holdings, there is volatility risk..
Sources: Chicago Tribune
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China Encourages Development of Venture Capital Firms
China's State Council said here Sunday that it will encourage state and local
governments and their affiliates to set up venture capital firms to finance
innovation-oriented start-ups.
According to new financial incentive policies aimed at stimulating nationwide
scientific and technological innovation, the State Council also encourages the
private sector to invest in research and development of start-up companies.
The incentive policies are targeted at creating a friendly environment for the
implementation of the National Guidelines for Medium-and Long-term Science and
Technology Development.
The State Council says it is considering setting up an innovation stock market
for hi-tech start-ups, similar to the U.S. NASDAQ.
The securities authorities are expected to ease requirements and waiting periods
of corporate applicants wanting to be listed on the stock market.
The State Council urges the State Development Bank to grant soft loans to
hi-tech enterprises, the Import and Export Bank to finance hi-tech imports, and
the Agricultural Development Bank to support commercialization of new
agricultural technologies.
The State Council also encourages commercial banks to actively finance state
hi-tech projects and forge business partnership with hi-tech start-ups.
Source: Xinhuanet
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Oil, Natural Gas China's Most Profitable Industries
Oil and natural gas mining are the most profitable industries in China in
2005, according to a study by the State Information Center released on February
17.
The results of the study show that oil and natural gas mining made a profit of
292.7 billion yuan (about 36 billion US dollars), up 68 per cent from 2004.
Refining and preliminary processing of base metals ranked second among 39
industries analyzed by the research team headed by Fan Jianping.
The third most profitable industry was the generation and supply of electricity
and fuel gas.
Others include the manufacturing of raw chemicals and chemical products,
manufacturing electronics and telecommunications equipment, and manufacturing
communications and transportation equipment.
Manufacturing of electrical and machinery products, manufacturing of general
equipment, coal mining and washing, and textile are also among the industries
that made the biggest profits in 2005.
Source: The Financial Express.
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Steel Industry in Dilemma
China's humongous steel industry faces a series of dilemma -- rising costs
and dropping prices, over capacity and lower demand -- while it struggles to
meet new opportunities during a period of contraction.
The Economic Information Daily reports that China produced 349.36 million tons
of crude steel in 2005, accounting for 30 percent of the world output. China
produces more steel than the next three largest steel producing countries
combined.
Yet analysts predict that the total demand for steel this year would be 13
million tons less than last year's output as they see a need for 336 million
tons to be produced.
Meanwhile the price of steel in China continues to plummet from its benchmark
price in March of last year. At that time the steel price index stood at 138.33,
but by August it had dropped to 116.59, a decrease of 15.72 percent.
The industry is also trying to absorb another blast from rocketing production
costs which have soared some 65 percent in the last two years. This is blamed on
rising world prices for ironore and oil along with increased costs in China for
coal, electricity and transportation.
Despite the challenges, the steel industry as a whole make a profit in 2005.
Sixty-six of the country's largest steel producers realized profits of 76.87
billion yuan (9.49 billion U.S. dollars).
Despite overproduction in the indigenous industry, the country still had to
import over 26 million tons of rolled steel and billets in 2005.
A number of major construction projects in China found it necessary to import
specialized steel products that are not made here. This includes a well-known
hotel in Hangzhou, capital of eastern Zhejiang province, that bought more than
70,000 cubic meters of 3-mm steel plates from Spain at a cost of about 100
million yuan.
Seeing an opportunity to capture more of the specialized market has lead China's
steel makers to rush to fill the void that is now predicted to fill too fast.
For example, experts warn that China's output of stainless steel could jump to
16.3 million tons by 2010 if all the producers complete their planned upgrades.
Yet the demand for stainless steel is only expected to reach 8 to 10 million
tons by then, according to analysts.
Last month, Luo Bingsheng, executive vice-chairman of CISA, said the country
plans to shut down smaller blast furnaces. Those with a capacity of less than
200 cubic meters will be decommissioned by the end of this year and those that
produce less than 300 cubic meters will be put out of operation by the end of
next year.
It's also expected that the government will continue to encourage mergers and
acquisitions of steel producers which could also provide a breakthrough in
sector restructuring.
Sources: Xinhua
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More Investment Urged for High-tech Industry
Leading officials in the Chinese computing industry have called for more
investment in domestic high technologies. "We must develop our indigenous
technologies in superservers, central processing units and optical and
electronic units because developed countries prohibit the export of these
technologies to China," Li Guojie, director of the Institute of Computing
Technology (ICT) under the Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS), said in an
interview with Xinhua on Friday.
A decade ago, Chinese-made servers attracted few domestic or overseas buyers. To
date, the most powerful Chinese superserver was listed by the U.S. Department of
Energy as the world's tenth fastest superserver.
Suma 4000A, developed by the ICT, has the highest computing speed of 11 trillion
times per second and eight trillion times per second according to the Linpack
Benchmark, which measures server performance.
Li and his team own 31 invention patents with Suma 4000A, which has never been
seen in any Chinese-made servers.
China started research on its own superserver in the early 1980s and
successfully developed the Milky Way I in 1983, with the highest computing
performance of 100 million times per second. Financial allocation and personnel
deployment to develop superservers reflected China's commitment to promoting
indigenous high technologies.
In March 1986, optical physicist Wang Daheng and three other prominent
scientists wrote a co-signed letter to the central leadership, requesting the
promotion of strategic high technologies. This led to the development of a
national hi-tech research and development program, nicknamed the "863 Program".
The "863 Program" focuses on biological, space, information, laser, automation,
energy, new material and marine technologies development, choosing 20 subjects
as priorities of research and development.
Xu Guanhua, minister of Science and Technology, said, "Improving our innovation
capability and developing technologies with our own intellectual property are
the two main objectives of our hi-tech development strategy."
In the two decades after the launch of the "863 Program", Chinese scientists and
technologists have sharpened their innovative tools in high-performance servers,
central processing units, functional human genomes, bio-chips, cloning
technologies, nano technologies and automation technologies.
Although huge leaps have been made in many fields of high technologies, China is
still lagging far behind the developed world.
CAS President Lu Yongxiang said, "China has a blurred overall strategy for
boosting high technologies.
"The state needs to invest much more in cultivating strategic high technologies
and commercializing them," Lu said..
Sources: Xinhua
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